Madison River at Below Ennis Lake, MT
USGS gauge 06041000 · drainage 2,213 sq mi · observed Oct 16, 7:00 PM MDT · 80 min old
Weather alerts Official NWS
No active National Weather Service alerts were returned for this location. This is not a statement that conditions are safe.
Source: National Weather Service alerts for the gauge location, fetched Oct 16, 8:19 PM MDT.
Model guidance Model guidance
| Time (gauge-local) | Modelled flow |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 8:00 PM MDT | 1,132 cfs |
| Oct 16, 11:00 PM MDT | 1,026 cfs |
| Oct 17, 2:00 AM MDT | 987 cfs |
| Oct 17, 5:00 AM MDT | 978 cfs |
| Oct 17, 8:00 AM MDT | 975 cfs |
| Oct 17, 11:00 AM MDT | 975 cfs |
Source: NOAA National Water Model, reach 3054074, run Oct 16, 5:00 PM MDT. Model guidance, not an official forecast and not a measurement.
Radar Official NWS
Source: National Weather Service radar, station KTFX. The loop is served live by the NWS and shows its own frame times.
Recent rain at the gauge location Official NWS
| Window | Rain | Valid through |
|---|---|---|
| Last 24 h | 0.00 in | Oct 16, 7:00 PM MDT |
| Last 2 days | 0.00 in | Oct 16, 6:00 AM MDT |
| Last 3 days | 0.00 in | Oct 16, 6:00 AM MDT |
Source: NWS River Forecast Center multisensor precipitation estimate, 4 km grid at the gauge location, fetched Oct 16, 8:19 PM MDT. Estimate, not a gauge at the stream. Each window is a separate NWS product with its own valid-through time, so a longer window can end earlier than a shorter one.
Forecast rain totals Official NWS
| Window | Forecast rain |
|---|---|
| Next 6 hours | 0.00 in |
| Next 12 hours | 0.00 in |
| Next 24 hours | 0.00 in |
| Next 48 hours | 0.00 in |
| Next 72 hours | 0.00 in |
| Next 7 days | 0.44 in |
Source: National Weather Service gridpoint quantitative precipitation forecast at the gauge location, updated Oct 16, 6:11 PM MDT. A forecast, not a measurement.
8 to 14 day outlook Official NWS
| Variable | Leaning | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Temperature | Normal | 36% |
| Precipitation | Above | 33% |
Source: NOAA Climate Prediction Center 8 to 14 day outlook for Oct 24 to Oct 30, issued Oct 16. A probability is the chance of the leaning category (above, near or below normal) for the whole period, not an amount.
Hourly forecast, next 24 hours Official NWS
| 8p | 9p | 10p | 11p | Sat | 1a | 2a | 3a | 4a | 5a | 6a | 7a | 8a | 9a | 10a | 11a | 12p | 1p | 2p | 3p | 4p | 5p | 6p | 7p | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temp °F | 49 | 48 | 48 | 47 | 46 | 46 | 45 | 45 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 43 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 59 | 63 | 64 | 64 | 65 | 63 | 60 | 57 |
| Wind mph | 16 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 21 | 21 |
| Gust mph | 28 | 32 | 37 | 36 | 35 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 39 | 39 | 40 | 39 | 38 | 38 | 36 | 36 |
| Direction | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | SSW | SSW | SSW | SSW | SSW | S | S | S | S |
| Cloud % | 31 | 28 | 31 | 38 | 30 | 45 | 39 | 39 | 32 | 33 | 27 | 37 | 29 | 28 | 37 | 34 | 26 | 34 | 41 | 39 | 34 | 34 | 39 | 39 |
| Rain in/h | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rain chance % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Source: National Weather Service gridpoint forecast, updated Oct 16, 6:11 PM MDT; rain chance from the NWS hourly point forecast. Hours are gauge-local. Darker cells mean a higher value in that row.
Weather forecast Official NWS
Source: National Weather Service point forecast, updated Oct 16, 6:11 PM MDT.
Air conditions Weather station
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Air temperature | 51 °F |
| Wind | Calm |
Source: National Weather Service station MTNOR, observed Oct 16, 7:45 PM MDT.
Sun Computed
| Event | Time (gauge-local) |
|---|---|
| Sunrise | 7:45 AM MDT |
| Sunset | 6:41 PM MDT |
Source: computed from the gauge location and date 2026-10-16. No external data.
Sources and method
- Forecasts, alerts and observations: National Weather Service. NWS material is not subject to copyright. Terms
- River forecasts and flood stages: National Weather Service. National Water Model guidance: NOAA. Terms
- Rain estimates and radar: NOAA and National Weather Service. Terms
- Outlook: NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Terms
- Data: U.S. Geological Survey. Terms
USGS daily statistics, downloaded 2026-10-12
Percentile method: trailing 24 h mean vs USGS daily percentiles for calendar date 10-16.
Percentile is estimated from USGS published daily percentiles. Readings are provisional until USGS reviews them. Not endorsed by USGS, NOAA or the National Weather Service. Not for navigation or safety-of-life decisions; the absence of an alert is not a statement that conditions are safe.