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Kinzua Creek at Guffey, PA

USGS gauge 03011800 · drainage 39 sq mi · observed Oct 16, 10:00 PM EDT · 20 min old

Dashboard Water Forecast

Latest flow32 cfsObserved Oct 16, 10:00 PM EDT
Gage height2.45 ftObserved Oct 16, 10:00 PM EDT
Percentile for date40thPercentile for Oct 16 at the 10:00 PM EDT reading, 60 years of USGS daily statistics; estimated. Median for the date: 26 cfs
24 h change+102%Flow 24 h earlier: 16 cfs

Last 7 days Live gauge

0.00204060Oct 9Oct 11Oct 12Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 160.00204060Oct 9Oct 12Oct 14Oct 16

Source: USGS Water Data API (continuous values), observed to Oct 16, 10:00 PM EDT. Shaded band: 25th to 75th percentile of USGS daily statistics for each date; dashed: median. Flow in cfs.

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Rate of rise and fall Live gauge

WindowFlow thenChange to latestGage height thenGage height change
1 h30 cfs▲ +1.9 cfs (+6.2%)2.43 ft+0.02 ft
3 h30 cfs▲ +2.8 cfs (+9.5%)2.42 ft+0.03 ft
6 h28 cfs▲ +4.7 cfs (+17.0%)2.40 ft+0.05 ft
12 h18 cfs▲ +14 cfs (+80.0%)2.28 ft+0.17 ft
24 h16 cfs▲ +16 cfs (+102.5%)2.25 ft+0.20 ft

Last 7 days

MeasureFlowTimeRelative to latest reading
Highest reading32 cfsOct 16, 10:00 PM EDTwithin the last hour
Lowest reading16 cfsOct 15, 4:45 PM EDT29 h earlier

Source: computed from USGS continuous readings (Water Data API) to Oct 16, 10:00 PM EDT. Each row compares the latest reading with the reading closest to that many hours earlier; the arrow is steady (▬) when the change is within 1%.

Daily mean flow Live gauge

Date (gauge-local)Mean flowNote
Oct 16, 202622 cfs
Oct 15, 202616 cfs
Oct 14, 202617 cfs
Oct 13, 202618 cfs
Oct 12, 202619 cfs
Oct 11, 202617 cfs
Oct 10, 202617 cfs
Oct 9, 202618 cfs
Oct 8, 2026–Partial day

Source: USGS Water Data API (continuous values); each mean uses readings on that gauge-local date, shown only with at least 80% of expected readings.

The same 50 days in earlier years Historical record

0.00100200300Aug 27Sep 6Sep 16Sep 25Oct 5Oct 150.00100200300Aug 27Sep 12Sep 29Oct 15

━ 2026   ╌ 2025   ╌ 2024   ╌ 2023

YearMean flowHighest day
202651 cfs233 cfs
20256.5 cfs16 cfs
202433 cfs150 cfs
202315 cfs34 cfs

Source: USGS daily mean flows (Water Data API). Each line is the 50 days from Aug 27 to Oct 15, shifted to the same calendar dates in earlier years; gaps are days without a published value. Recent days are provisional.

Compared with this gauge’s record Historical record

MeasureValueWhen or rank
Peak daily flow, last 7 days19 cfsOct 12, 2026
Last time daily flow was this high or higher27 cfsOct 2, 2026 (10 days earlier)
Last day above the 90th percentile for its date, before this peakSep 17, 202625 days earlier
Days above the 75th percentile for their date9 of 29last 29 days
October 1 to 15, mean flow21 cfsrank 36 highest of 62 years
Peak daily mean compared with annual instantaneous peaks of recordBelow the lowest of 59lowest annual peak 440 cfs

Source: USGS daily mean flows (Water Data API), 1965 to 2026 (22,294 days), data through Oct 15, 2026, computed 2026-10-17; method record-v1. Percentiles are USGS daily statistics. Recent days are provisional.

Largest annual peaks Historical record

Ten largest peaks of record

DatePeak flowGage height at peak
Jun 22, 19725,220 cfs8.99 ft
Sep 28, 19674,110 cfs8.33 ft
Jun 20, 19893,400 cfs7.76 ft
Dec 1, 20103,400 cfs7.81 ft
Jun 18, 19843,070 cfs7.47 ft
Jan 19, 19962,960 cfs7.92 ft
Jun 14, 19942,920 cfs7.76 ft
Aug 15, 19802,880 cfs7.28 ft
Jan 12, 20172,260 cfs7.06 ft
Mar 15, 20072,210 cfs6.81 ft

Five most recent annual peaks

DatePeak flowGage height at peak
Apr 12, 2024961 cfs5.47 ft
Nov 12, 2022684 cfs4.98 ft
Feb 18, 20221,470 cfs6.61 ft
Dec 25, 2020768 cfs5.14 ft
Nov 1, 2019757 cfs5.12 ft

Source: USGS annual peak streamflow (Water Data API), 59 annual peaks, 1966 to 2024. A water year's peak is its highest instantaneous flow.

Historic crests Official NWS

DateCrest stageFlow
Jun 21, 19728.99 ft5,220 cfs

Source: National Weather Service forecast point GUFP1 (Kinzua Creek above Guffey), historic crests as published by the NWS; the NWS may have recorded them on an older gauge datum. The USGS annual peaks above are a separate record and can differ in date, flow and datum.

Gage height to flow rating Historical record

0.002,0004,0006,0000.002.04.06.08.0100.002,0004,0006,0000.002.04.06.08.010

Line: current USGS rating, gage height (ft, horizontal) to flow (cfs, vertical). ● latest reading, 2.45 ft and 32 cfs.

Source: USGS rating table for the gauge (NWIS rating depot, expanded shifted rating, 685 rows, thinned to 99 points), fetched Oct 16, 10:13 PM EDT. Ratings are provisional and change with the channel.

Sources and method

USGS daily statistics, downloaded 2026-10-12

Percentile method: trailing 24 h mean vs USGS daily percentiles for calendar date 10-16.

Percentile is estimated from USGS published daily percentiles. Readings are provisional until USGS reviews them. Not endorsed by USGS, NOAA or the National Weather Service. Not for navigation or safety-of-life decisions; the absence of an alert is not a statement that conditions are safe.